Summary:

Over a decade ago, the government's strategic decision to artificially lower interest rates profoundly impacted the homeownership landscape. This policy, a significant driver in the rise of home values, also led to a price surge. The direct influence of the government's actions on affordability has become a substantial barrier for many taxpayers.

As manipulations are common, the government's attempt to curb inflation by increasing interest rates has significantly affected the housing market. The lack of demand, primarily driven by affordability issues, has stagnated home values. This underscores the pivotal role of affordability in the market dynamics and the impact of government policy.

The same applies to income-producing properties, where low interest rates cause prices and rents to go up. Stagnation has set in because of increased interest rates, reflecting higher property payments. Inflationary pressures and high rents stress tenants, and higher debt service payments stress property owners.

https://www.forbes.com/advisor/investing/fed-funds-rate-history/

Article:

As homeowners age, they often confront unique financial challenges. The affordability of their homes, once suitable for a large family, can become a burden as the family size shrinks. The unused space in their large homes, often called McMansions, can exacerbate the financial strain.

The situation can be further complicated by the need for the most burdensome hangers-oners (adult kids hanging on to their free lunch) to eventually leave the comfort of the parent's home, which adds to the financial strain.

The days of bigger, better, faster, and more expensive upward mobility can become a burden when all excesses are no longer desired; the desire for simplicity and frugality can surface as a liberating necessity, inspiring a more manageable and fulfilling lifestyle.

Homeownership is more than just the pride of owning a property. It comes with substantial financial and physical obligations. The capital expenditure outlays for enhancements, such as heating, air conditioning, electricity, lawn and tree maintenance, home upkeep, and general maintenance, can be significant and often underestimated. These expenses contribute to the overall financial load of homeownership, a reality that homeowners must be fully aware of and that property investors must carefully consider.

Consider a scenario where a couple bought a home approximately 40 years ago. The property was a four-bedroom, three-bathroom house with a spacious family room, a den, and a three-car garage on a half-acre land parcel.  They anticipated having two to three children and required ample space to install a pool and jacuzzi. The home was purchased for $200,000,  with 80% financed and an equity line of credit of $100,000 used for all the upgrades.

Over the next 20 years, they improved and remodeled the home as needed.  The kids grew up spoiled and demanded to attend USC after attending elite private grade schools rather than a state university, of course, paid for by mom and dad.

Eventually, their children graduated from college. Two of their children got married and pressured the parents for handouts to pay for their own growing families.  Their oldest daughter had a nasty divorce and moved back in for a while with her children, causing an even more significant burden on her parents.  Soon, the parents were forced to refinance their home to $400,000 to pay for all the joys of their ever-growing extended family. Forty years flew by in a blink.

Opting to downsize to a more manageable home with a significantly reduced monthly financial burden can be a beacon of economic relief. This move could save the couple thousands of dollars monthly, providing a clear path to financial stability. The money saved and their social security could be redirected towards other financial goals or used to enhance a retirement lifestyle. Imagine the freedom and peace of mind that comes with such a decision. On the other hand, not downsizing could lead to continued financial strain and a less comfortable retirement. 

Family discussions followed about selling and downsizing:

Age limitations on climbing the stairs to get to the bedrooms.

Maintaining the home and exterior yards costs about $3,000 per month.

Everything is more expensive because of inflation, which decreases the dollar's purchasing power.

Creeping property taxes.

Excess space sits idle.

Keeping up pool maintenance.

Being able to sustain the house payments.

The home is worth about $1,700,000, and the monthly costs to maintain are:

The house payment is $2,000 on the $350,000 loan.

Property taxes are $500.

Utilities are $400.

The exteriors' maintenance and upkeep cost about $2000, for a total monthly obligation of $4,900.

The couple, now in their late 60s, discussed their options for moving:

Sell and downsize to another home.

Rent out their home; they could rent a much smaller place.

They could wind up with a parasitic defaulting tenant protected by government regulations who can manipulate themselves into staying rent-free for a year or two while the owners make the payments.

They may end up with a squatter with more possession and equitable occupancy rights while the owners pay lawyers to remove them. That could take one or two years through the ideologically collectivist court system.  

In Propositions 60 and 90 in California, the couple could transfer their old property taxes to the new home, so their monthly outflow would be as follows. With the first option, they would sell their home for $1,700,000 less the closing costs of 6% net, and $1600,000 less the outstanding balance on the home loan of $350,000 would give them $1,250,000.  With the $500,000 exemption for two-party families, capital gains would be calculated at $750,000 at 20%=$150,000, payable to the government, which leaves a net on the sale of $1,100,000. If the couple purchased an $800,000 replacement house and paid cash, they would still have $300,000. This means they would have no house payments. However, they would still have to cover property taxes, association dues, utilities, and home upkeep, totaling $ 2,200, or about 40% of their prior monthly expenses. This option would provide a smaller home, cash in the bank, and less than the monthly costs. 

No house payments.

Property taxes are $500.

Association dues are $700.

Utilities and home upkeep cost $1,000, totaling $2,200, or about 40% of their prior monthly expenses: smaller home, cash in the bank, and less than the monthly costs.

The second option, selling their home and renting another, may not be as financially beneficial as it seems. The couple discovered they would have to pay around $4,500 in monthly rent for a lovely condo in a safe area. They would pay a high association fee if they wanted one with all the amenities.  The monthly savings were little compared to keeping their existing home. This highlights the importance of considering all financial aspects before deciding, ensuring you are fully informed and prepared for the financial implications. It's crucial to calculate the total monthly costs of each option, including all associated fees and expenses, to make an informed decision.

They could invest their $1,100,000 at 5% per annum, generating a monthly income of $4,583. The two will get about $2,000 monthly in social security, totaling $4,000. Their out-of-pocket monthly housing expense would be significantly less. However, rents could rise, neighbors could be pesky, the homeowner's committee may bother them, or the property owner could sell the condo, highlighting the potential risks of this option and the need for caution.

With option three, they could rent their large house out for $7,000 to $10,000 per month to strangers and then rent a much smaller home for $4,000.  This option, however, would involve being a landlord and possibly getting flaky tenants who might damage the property, forcing them to spend money on repairs. Converting into a rental is rarely a good idea unless compelled to do so because of one of the party's diminished health or death.

With all the above options comes the gruesome reality of downsizing and ridding themselves of a life's worth of stuff the couple felt were valuable collectibles, antiques, and heirlooms. The kids looked at all their stuff as old-fashioned and out of step with the times; their kids preferred the modern classic look. They quickly discovered that style preferences had changed. The collection the parents valued had no value to them and was considered a burden by the children. 

The cold, hard cash they received from the parents on their birthdays and holidays was not a burden to the kids and grandkids. I look forward to the inheritance of cold hard cash, which is not a burden.

Remaining in the home becomes a better decision. The monthly cost, including home expenses, is $4,900 plus about $3,000 for medical, car, and food, or $7,900. Social security would provide $4,000. The need for $3,900 per month may require tapping into the IRA for 401K distributions or continuing working for a few years, only at a less stressful pace.

In many cases, independent contract work in the same field provides a lot more freedom. Continuing to work at some productive enterprise helps maintain one's sharp intellect.

Recap:

• Stay put: Housing costs $4,900 per month, expenses $3,000 per month, income social security $4,000, and an additional $3,900 to maintain lifestyle.
• Sell and move to a smaller home: cost $2,200, expenses $3,000 per month, a total outlay of $5,200, income social security of $4,000, and income from $300,000 investment at 7% per annum equals $1,750. Could maintain a lifestyle without continuing to work.
• Sell and rent: Rental costs $4,500 per month, expenses $3,000, total cost $7,500 per month, Social Security income $4,000 plus $1,750 income from investment. The couple would still need a couple of thousand per month to maintain their lifestyle.

Now, sit at a barstool or in the mancave in your McMansion and open a bottle of fine Cabernet Sauvignon.  Or, sit down on your traditional furniture and celebrate your best decision.  Stay put! Maybe the grandkids want to come over for a few days to swim in the pool and barbecue. Perhaps they won't, but you can live with the satisfaction of being independent and owning an appreciating asset.