Dan J. Harkey

Master Educator | Business & Finance Consultant | Mentor

The Role of “Crisis and Chaos” in the Perpetuation of Power and Influence

Chaos can evoke feelings of uncertainty and anxiety, as citizens’ demands shift from process and transparency to quick results, leaving participants feeling the emotional toll on society. But it is a handy tool to gain power and influence over others.

by Dan J. Harkey

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Summary

When everything feels urgent and anxiety-driven, almost anything can be justified.”

The idea of government as a “crisis and chaos of intelligence and power” captures a modern suspicion: that instability is not merely a condition leaders manage, but sometimes a tool leaders wield

Whether the turbulence originates in genuine emergencies, accelerating technology, institutional decay, or media dynamics, the effect is similar—attention concentrates, rules flex.  Power migrates toward whoever can claim to ‘fix it.’

This isn’t just a structural observation; it’s a reminder of how fragile trust and legitimacy are, encouraging the audience to appreciate their importance for societal stability.

Chaos as Strategy: Overload, Acceleration, and the Politics of Exhaustion

A typical contemporary argument is that political chaos is not always accidental.  Some analysts describe a pattern: create or amplify multiple simultaneous conflicts, keep institutions reacting, and make opposition feel perpetually behind.  The goal isn’t necessarily to win every dispute.  The goal is to control the tempo.

When the government is operating in a constant sprint, oversight weakens.  Legislators can’t deeply review everything.  Journalists can’t investigate everything.  Citizens can’t process everything.  In that environment, the public becomes more persuadable—not because people are foolish, but because human attention is finite.

Three features define chaos as a strategy:

  • Narrative saturation: competing storylines that divide attention and blur accountability.
  • Procedural shortcuts: pressure to “act now,” even if it bypasses norms or deliberation.
  • Emotional governance: fear and outrage become shortcuts to public compliance.

“A population that cannot keep up cannot hold anyone accountable.”

None of this requires a conspiracy.  It can emerge from incentives such as the rewards of media visibility, donor pressure, election cycles, and bureaucratic self-protection.  Chaos can be opportunistic rather than orchestrated—yet still politically useful.

The Crisis of Intelligence: When Facts Become Factions

In a healthy system, intelligence and expertise—whether in national security, public health, finance, or infrastructure—function as inputs to decision-making.  Their credibility rests on method, independence, and a disciplined relationship with uncertainty.  But when intelligence becomes entangled with political branding, a dangerous inversion occurs: conclusions are selected first, and evidence is arranged afterward.

This is what many people mean by a “crisis of intelligence.” It’s not only about spies or classified briefings.  It’s about the broader ecosystem of institutional truth-telling: agencies, inspectors general, watchdogs, auditors, scientists, and civil servants who provide inconvenient information.

When expertise is treated as partisan, two failures follow:

·         Security failure: decision-makers act on distorted inputs.

·         Trust failure: the public assumes all claims are propaganda and retreats into camps.

The tragedy is that both sides of the debate often feel they are defending reality.  One side says institutions are captured; the other says institutions are being undermined.  The result can be the same: a weakened capacity to agree on basic facts, which is the precondition for democratic disagreement.

“Democracy doesn’t require that we agree on everything—only that we can agree on what’s real.”

Legitimacy and the “Broken System” Feeling

A society can survive policy failures.  It struggles to survive a legitimacy failure.  When people conclude the system is “broken,” they do not merely criticize outcomes; they start to question the fairness of the process.  And when the process is viewed as illegitimate, even correct decisions are interpreted as corrupt.

Public trust declines for many reasons: bureaucracy that feels unresponsive, visible Corruption, widening inequality, cultural polarization, and the sense that rules apply differently to different people.  Whether or not any single complaint is empirically accurate, the perception becomes politically decisive.  Once voters feel trapped in a loop of dysfunction, they become more receptive to radical remedies—sometimes constructive, sometimes reckless.

A key dynamic here is asymmetry:

  • Building trust takes years.
  • Losing trust takes one scandal, one misstatement, one cover-up, one crisis mishandled.

“Power doesn’t only grow by winning—it grows when the public stops believing anyone else can govern.”

The Power Elite and the Structure of Control

Political theory has long wrestled with the question: who truly governs?  One influential family of ideas—often framed through conflict-based theories of society—argues that institutions tend to serve those with concentrated resources: wealth, networks, legal access, and information.

From this perspective, crises act as a refinery, concentrating public anxiety into focused authority, which can lead to the normalization of emergency powers, showing how efficiency can have long-term implications for governance.

In crisis conditions, “the power elite” can benefit in predictable ways:

  • Access to policymaking accelerates for insiders.
  • Regulatory loopholes appear under urgency.
  • Emergency programs redistribute resources quickly—and not always transparently.

The deeper problem is not merely “elite influence.” It is the mismatch between complexity and accountability.  The more complex a system becomes, the harder it is for ordinary citizens to track how decisions are made and who profits from them.

Intelligence as Power: Leaks, Declassification, and Political Weaponry

Information as power, primarily through leaks and declassification, influences the legitimacy of institutions, demonstrating how the velocity of information shapes public perception and crisis responses.

This creates a hazardous cycle:

·         Leaking becomes normalized as a tactic.

·         Institutions become more defensive and secretive.

·         Public skepticism increases.

·         Leaders cite skepticism to justify more control.

Meanwhile, citizens are left with fragments—partial documents, out-of-context clips, and competing “expert” interpretations.  The result is not enlightenment but epistemic fatigue: people stop trying to know what’s true.

“In an information war, the first casualty isn’t truth—it’s attention.”

Emerging AI Threats: The Next Crisis Layer

Artificial intelligence adds a new dimension to crisis politics by threatening to destabilize both security and legitimacy simultaneously.  AI can amplify disinformation, automate persuasion, and generate convincing forgeries at scale.  It can also reshape labor markets, concentrate economic advantage, and pressure energy and infrastructure systems through computing demand.

Governments face a dilemma: move too slowly and risk being outpaced by adversaries and markets; move too aggressively and risk overreach, censorship concerns, or innovation paralysis.  In that tension, crises multiply:

  • Security crisis: cyber, critical infrastructure, and autonomous tools.
  • Economic crisis: displacement, productivity shocks, and inequality.
  • Trust crisis: deepfakes and “reality collapse,” where evidence is always contestable.

AI doesn’t create the chaos dynamic—it supercharges it.  The more reality can be manufactured, the more citizens crave authoritative referees.  And the more they crave referees, the more power concentrates in institutions—public and private—that claim the right to arbitrate truth.

“When reality is editable, legitimacy becomes the scarce resource.”

Alternative View: Reform, Resilience, and the Democratic “Self-Correction” Argument

Not everyone accepts the “perpetual chaos” frame.  A competing view argues that democratic systems look messy precisely because they are open.  Noise is the cost of pluralism.  Conflict is the price of freedom.  From this perspective, periods of turmoil can be evidence of self-correction, not decline—society arguing in public rather than suppressing dissent.

This view emphasizes that stability is not the absence of conflict; it is the presence of rules strong enough to contain conflict.  The antidote to chaos is not blind unity, but institutional repair:

  • more precise boundaries on emergency authority,
  • stronger oversight and auditing,
  • civic transparency paired with disciplined confidentiality where necessary,
  • and bipartisan commitments to baseline norms even amid ideological disagreement.

The most practical version of this argument is simple:

control what can be controlled.  Strengthen processes that outlast personalities.  Reduce incentives for performative crisis-making.  Reward competence—Penalize deception.

“The choice isn’t between governing and chaos—it’s between short-term advantage and long-term legitimacy.”

Conclusion: Crisis Is Inevitable—Chaos as Policy Is Not

Real crises will come in the form of disasters, wars, financial shocks, pandemics, and technological disruption.  No society manufactures them.

The question is what follows.  Crisis can produce solidarity, competence, and reform—or it can become a permanent governing style in which urgency replaces accountability and spectacle replaces policy.

If “crisis and chaos” perpetuate power, they do so through predictable mechanisms: attention capture, institutional exhaustion, narrative control, and the public’s hunger for certainty.  The defense is equally predictable: transparent processes, enforceable limits on emergency authority, rigorous truth-telling norms, and a citizenry that refuses to trade legitimacy for adrenaline.

The goal is not to eliminate conflict.  The goal is to prevent conflict from becoming a business model and a profit-making enterprise.